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Información relevante

Los Lyxor ETFs presentados en la página web de lyxoretf.com, pueden ser objeto de restricciones en lo que respecta a la inversión por determinadas personas o en determinados países, en virtud de las distintas regulaciones nacionales aplicables a dichas personas o en dichos países. Cualquier persona que acceda a esta página web desde una jurisdicción en la cual se aplican dichas restricciones tiene que informarse al respecto y observar dichas restricciones. Por consiguiente, le corresponde a usted asegurarse de que, efectivamente está autorizado a invertir en los Lyxor ETFs presentados en esta página web. Invirtiendo en estos productos, usted garantiza a Société Générale que está efectivamente autorizado a invertir. Inversores españoles se deben dirigir a www.lyxoretf.es

La información contenida en esta página web no constituye una oferta o invitación para adquirir o vender los productos aquí descritos a personas sometidas a jurisdicciones donde:

(a) dicha oferta o invitación no esté autorizada;
(b) Lyxor Asset Management no esté cualificada para hacer dicha oferta o invitación;
(c) sea ilícito hacer dicha oferta o invitación.

Los ETFs referidos en esta página web no han estado y no estarán registrados conforme al U.S Securities Act de1933, por lo tanto, no pueden ser ofertados ni vendidos en los EE.UU sin registro previo o solo en caso de excepción de registro conforme al al Securities Act. Por consiguiente, los ETFs listados en esta página web no pueden ser vendidos a “U.S persons”, ni transferidos a los Estados Unidos a menos que dicha transacción esté sujeta a los requisitos de registro conforme a la ley Americana.

Esta página web es de carácter comercial y no de carácter legal. No se garantiza la exactitud, exhaustividad o pertinencia de la información aunque ha sido establecida a partir de fuentes consideradas como fiables. La información presentada en esta página web se basa en información de mercado constada en un momento dado que puede variar con posterioridad a su publicación. El valor de reembolso de los Lyxor ETFs puede ser inferior al montante de la inversión inicial. En el peor de los casos, los inversores podrían perder hasta la totalidad de su inversión, por lo que se recomienda a los inversores consultar la sección« factores de riesgo » del folleto del producto. El precio de algunos Lyxor ETFs puede ser sensible a riesgos de tipo de cambio entre la cotización del ETF y/o la divisa del índice y/o la divisa del componente del índice.

Todos los LyxorETFs presentados en esta página web han sido aprobados por la “Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF)” y son objeto de un folleto aprobado por la AMF y pasaporteado en la CNMV conforme a la Directiva 2003/71/CE. Dichos folletos están disponibles en esta página Web.

La documentación relativa a los Lyxor ETFs preverá métodos de ajuste y de sustitución para tener en cuenta que consecuencias tendría cualquier suceso extraordinario que afecte a uno o varios de los subyacentes de estos productos.

Antes de invertir en un Lyxor ETF, usted debe hacer su propia valoración del riesgo desde un punto de vista legal, fiscal y contable, sin depender exclusivamente de la información que le proporcionamos y consultando, si lo estima necesario, sus propios asesores en la materia o cualquier otro asesor independiente.

El inversor de ETFs estará expuesto a los siguientes factores de riesgo: Riesgo de pérdida del capital invertido, al no existir ninguna garantía, como consecuencia de un movimiento desfavorable del Índice de Referencia, Riesgo de que el objetivo de gestión solo se cumpla parcialmente, Riesgo de contrapartida como resultado de la utilización de los instrumentos financieros (OTC) formalizados con un establecimiento de crédito. Se recomienda a los inversores que consulten la sección del folleto antes de invertir.

En la medida en que cumpla con la legislación aplicable, ninguna entidad del Grupo Société Générale acepta responsabilidad alguna por las consecuencias financieras o de cualquier otra naturaleza que resulten de la inversión en este producto.

A private investor is a self directed retail client who is making investment decisions on their own behalf in their personal stock broking account, Self Invested Personal Pension or individual savings account

A financial Adviser is a qualified investment professional who provides financial advice or guidance to investors based on their own personal financial situation and risk profile

A professional client is a client that is either a per se professional client or an elective professional client (Note article 4 (1) 12 of Mifid ):

An entity required to be authorised or regulated to operate in the financial markets. The following list includes all authorised entities carrying out the characteristic activities of the entities mentioned, whether authorised by an EEA State or a third country and whether or not authorised by reference to a directive:
- a credit institution
- an investment firm
- any other authorised or regulated financial institution
- an insurance company
- a collective investment scheme or the management company of such a scheme
- a pension fund or the management company of a pension fund
- a commodity or commodity derivatives dealer
- a local
- any other institutional investor
In relation to MiFID or equivalent third country business, a large undertaking, meeting two of the following size requirements on a company basis:
- balance sheet total of EUR 20,000,000
- net turnover of EUR 40,000,000
- own funds of EUR 2,000,000
In relation to business that is neither MiFID or equivalent third country business, a large undertaking meeting either of the following conditions:
- a body corporate (including a limited liability partnership) which has (or any of whose holding companies or subsidiaries has) called up share capital of at least £10 million (or its equivalent in any other currency at the relevant time)
- a large undertaking that meets (or any of whose holding companies or subsidiaries meets) two of the following tests: (i) a balance sheet total of EUR 12,500,000; (ii) a net turnover of EUR 25,000,000; (iii) an average number of employees during the year of 250
- a national or regional government, a public body that manages public debt, a central bank, an international or supranational institution (such as the World Bank, the IMF, the ECP, the EIB) or another similar international organisation.
- another institutional investor whose main activity is to invest in financial instruments (in relation to the firm's MiFID or equivalent third country business) or designated investments (in relation to the firm's other business). This includes entities dedicated to the securitisation of assets or other financing transactions

The above definition is only an extract and is not exhaustive. For further details please refer to the Glossary section of the FSA Handbook: https://www.handbook.fca.org.uk/handbook/glossary/

The information on this website is published by Lyxor Asset Management UK LLP (Lyxor UK), a member of the Société Générale group of companies ("Lyxor UK Group"). Lyxor UK is authorized by Financial Conduct Authority in the UK, under FCA Registration Number 435658.

You should note that an investment in any of these Exchange Traded Funds will not be covered by the provisions of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme, or by any similar scheme.

Although information contained herein is from sources believed to be reliable, Lyxor UK makes no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy of any information. Any reproduction, disclosure or dissemination of these materials is prohibited. This site is maintained by Lyxor UK, 1 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London, E14 4SG.

GENERAL GUIDANCE

Lyxor UK is the promoter of Lyxor UK Exchange Traded Funds. You cannot trade directly with Lyxor UK.

A number of technical terms are used on this website. If you are in any doubt as to the meaning of such terms, then you should first consult Academy section. There is also a FAQ function which explains some of the terms contained in the website. If you require further clarification please do not hesitate to contact us directly on info@lyxoretf.co.uk, or call 0800 707 6956.

INVESTMENT RISKS

The Lyxor UCITS ETFs described on this website are not suitable for everyone. Investors capital is at risk. Investors should not deal in this product unless they understand, having obtained independent professional advice where necessary, its nature, terms and conditions, and the extent of their exposure to risk. The value of the product can go down as well as up and can be subject to volatility due to factors such as price changes in the underlying instrument and interest rates. If a fund is quoted in a different currency to the index, currency risks exist. Prior to any investment in any Lyxor UCITS ETF, you should make your own appraisal of the risks from a financial, legal and tax perspective, without relying exclusively on the information provided by us. We recommend that you consult your own independent professional advisors (including legal, tax, financial or accounting advisors, as appropriate)

SPECIFIC RISKS

Counterparty risk: Through Lyxor UCITS ETFs, investors are exposed to counterparty risk resulting from the use of OTC swaps with Société Générale. Pursuant to the UCITS Directive 2009/65/EC (as may be amended), the exposure of a UCITS to a swap counterparty which is a credit institution for the purpose of the Directive, cannot exceed 10% of the total fund assets. It is recommended that potential investors study the fund prospectus before investing.

As of March 2020, the long term, senior, unsecured debt obligations of Société Générale were rated A by Standard and Poor’s Ratings Services (S & P) and A2 by Moody’s Investor’s Services Inc (Moody’s). Companies are rated by S&P from AAA (highest rating / most secure) to D (lowest rating / in default / most risky), and by Moody’s from Aaa (highest rating / most secure) to C (lowest rating / in default / most risky).

Liquidity risk: Société Générale is not the only market-maker for Lyxor UCITS ETFs. Société Générale and any other market makers supporting Lyxor UCITS ETFs on exchange must follow the respective London Stock Exchange (LSE) requirements and guidelines. On-exchange liquidity may be limited as a result of a suspension in the underlying market represented by the index tracked by the ETF; a failure in the LSE, Société Générale or other market-maker systems; or an abnormal trading situation or event.

PRODUCT SPECIFIC RISK FACTORS

Capital at Risk ETFs are tracking instruments: Their risk profile is similar to a direct investment in the Benchmark Index. Investors’ capital is fully at risk and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Investments are not covered by the provisions of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme ("FSCS"), or any similar scheme.

Counterparty Risk Investors may be exposed to risks resulting from the use of an OTC (over the counter) Swap with Lyxor UK. Physical ETFs may have Counterparty Risk resulting from the use of a Securities Lending Programme.

Currency Risk ETFs may be exposed to currency risk if the ETF or Benchmark Index holdings are denominated in a currency different to that of the Benchmark Index they are tracking. This means that exchange rate fluctuations could have a negative or positive effect on returns

Replication Risk ETFs are designed to replicate the performance of the Benchmark Index. Unexpected events relating to the constituents of the Benchmark Index may impact the Index provider’s ability to calculate the Benchmark Index, which may effect the ETF’s ability to replicate the Benchmark Index efficiently. This may create Tracking Error in the ETF.

The Benchmark Index of a Lyxor ETF may be complex and volatile. When investing in commodities, the Benchmark Index is calculated with reference to commodity futures contracts which can expose investors to risks related to the cost of carry and transportation. ETFs exposed to Emerging Markets carry a greater risk of potential loss than investment in Developed Markets as they are exposed to a wide range of unpredictable Emerging Market risks.

Liquidity Risk On-exchange liquidity may be limited as a result of a suspension in the underlying market represented by the Benchmark Index tracked by the ETF; a failure in the systems of one of the relevant stock exchanges, Lyxor UK or other Market Maker systems; or an abnormal trading situation or event.

The Sub-Funds are recognised Collective Investment Schemes for the purposes of Section 264 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (the "FSMA") and the Prospectus is available to the general public in the United Kingdom on this website. You are advised that most, if not all, of the protections provided by the United Kingdom regulatory system generally and for UK authorised funds do not apply to recognised funds such as these Sub-Funds

The information on this website is published in the UK by Lyxor Asset Management UK LLP (Lyxor UK), which is authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK, under FCA Registration Number 435658.

The website is hosted by on Microsoft Azure servers.

This website is subject to French law and English Law

Lyxor and Lyxor ETF are names used by Lyxor Asset Management UK LLP to promote the products of Lyxor International Asset Management. Although information contained herein is from sources believed to be reliable, Lyxor Asset Management UK LLP makes no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy of any information. Any reproduction, disclosure or dissemination of these materials is prohibited.

This website is published by Lyxor International Asset Management (LIAM), a simplified joint stock company (société par actions simplifiée) with capital of 1,059,696 euros, listed on the Nanterre Trade and Companies Register under the single identification number 419,223,375 and EPA number 6630Z.

Registered office: Tours Société Générale, 17 cours Valmy, 92800 Puteaux.

Intra-community VAT number: FR 50419223375
Legal representative and director of publication: Lionel Paquin, Chairman, Lyxor International Asset Management.

Managing editor: Nathalie Boschat, Head of the Lyxor Communications Department (Tel.: +33 1 42 14 83 21); e-mail: Nathalie.Boschat@sgcib.com).

This website is hosted on Microsoft Azure servers.
This website is subject to French law.

Professional regulation

LIAM is a French asset management company approved by the AMF (17 place de la Bourse 75082 Paris Cedex 02) under the UCITS (2009/65/EC) and AIFM (2011/31/EU) directives.

Site content

LIAM endeavors to ensure the accuracy and updating of information on this website, and reserves the right to modify the content at any time without notice. LIAM cannot however guarantee its completeness or the absence of modification by a third party (intrusion, virus). Moreover, LIAM accepts no liability in case of difficulty or inability to access the website due to an internet connection problem.

As such, LIAM does not accept liability for any consequential damages such as, but not limited to, losses arising from transactions made on the basis of the information, loss of profit, loss of business, loss resulting from an interruption of service, increased costs of access and information processing.

Similarly, LIAM cannot be held liable for factors beyond its control or any damage that may be suffered by your technical environment, including your computers, software, network equipment (modems, phones, etc.) and any equipment used to access or use the service and/or information.

Finally, LIAM cannot guarantee, and accepts no liability as regards the sequence, accuracy, absence of errors, veracity, currency, merchantability, quality, correctness or non-infringing character and availability of the information on this website.

You undertake to use the information contained on this website for personal, non-commercial purposes.

Information on products and services

The products and services offered by LIAM are not available in all jurisdictions, notably due to regulatory constraints. The terms and conditions relative to products and services (if any) are indicative. The information regarding products and services does not constitute on the part of LIAM or any of its affiliates either an offer to buy, sell or subscribe for financial products or services, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell.

LIAM assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of the information derived from external sources, although the information is obtained from sources deemed reliable.

WHEN PAST PERFORMANCE OR SIMULATED PAST PERFORMANCE IS PRESENTED, THE DATA RELATED THERETO REFER TO PAST PERIODS, AND ARE NOT RELIABLE INDICATORS OF FUTURE RESULTS. THE SAME APPLIES TO VARIATIONS IN HISTORICAL MARKET DATA.

When simulations of future performance are presented, the data relative to these performances are only predictions, and are not a reliable indicator of the future performance of the product. Moreover, where past performance or simulated past performance are based on data expressed in a currency that is not that of the state of residence of the investor, potential gains may increase or decrease based on changes in exchange rates. Finally, where past performance or simulated performances (past or future) are presented, any gains can also be reduced by the effect of commissions, fees or other charges borne by the investor.

Anyone wishing to obtain any of the services or products presented on this website is requested to contact LIAM to inquire about the availability of the service or product in question, and the contractual terms and rates applicable to it.

Subscription of products and services

As part of its legal and regulatory obligations (including those resulting from the European directive on Markets in Financial Instruments – MIFiD), LIAM may be required, depending on the type of products it offers and the classification it assigns you, to verify the suitability or appropriateness of the financial instruments in relation to your hedging or investment objectives, your knowledge and your experience.

Without prejudice to the legal or regulatory obligations borne by LIAM, investors should, before investing in the product or concluding any transaction relating thereto, conduct their own analysis of the product and its risks, especially in respect of legal, tax and accounting aspects, without relying solely on information provided to them. Investors should consult, if they deem it necessary, their own advisors or any other professional on this matter. Subject to compliance with its legal and regulatory requirements, LIAM shall not be held liable for the financial consequences of any nature whatsoever arising from any transaction relating to the product or any investment in the product.

Any online application for subscription to a product or service offered by LIAM is only valid after acceptance by it, and involves the submission of the transaction to contractual and tariff conditions, as well as to French law.

Intellectual property

The entire website is covered by French and international copyright, trademark and, more generally, intellectual property law, both in terms of its form (choice, plan, layout of materials, means of access to data, organization of data, etc.), and in respect of each element of its content (text, images, etc.). The content appearing on the pages of this website is the exclusive property of LIAM. You further undertake not to use such content and not to allow anyone else to use this content for illegal purposes.

Exceptionally, some content (text, images) may be the property of its respective authors.

Any reproduction, distribution or redistribution in whole or in part of the content of this website in any form or by any means whatsoever (including by caching or framing), or any sale, resale, retransmission or distribution to third parties in any way whatsoever is prohibited. Failure to comply with this prohibition constitutes an infringement that may result in civil and criminal penalties.

The hypertext links to other websites do not engage the liability of LIAM, particularly as regards the content of these websites.

LIAM is not responsible for hypertext links pointing to this website, and prohibits any person from establishing such a link without its express consent.

Marketing Restrictions and Implications

Lyxor UCITS compliant Exchange Traded Funds (Lyxor UCITS ETFs) referred to on this website are open ended mutual investment funds (i) established under the French law and approved by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (the French Financial Markets Authority), or (ii) established under the Luxembourg law and approved by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (the Luxembourg Financial Supervisory Committee). Most, if not all, of the protections provided by theUK regulatory system generally and for UK authorised funds do not apply to these exchange traded funds (ETFs). In particular, investors should note that holdings in this product will not be covered by the provisions of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme, or by any similar scheme in France.

This website is exclusively intended for persons who are not "US persons", as such term is defined in Regulation S or the US Securities Act 1933, as amended, and who are not physically present in the US. This website does not constitute an offer or an invitation to purchase any securities in the United States or in any other jurisdiction in which such offer or invitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Potential users of this website are requested to inform themselves about and to observe any such restrictions.

Index Replication Process

Lyxor UCITS ETFs follow both physical and synthetic index replication process.

However, most Lyxor UCITS ETFs follow synthetic replication process. This consists of entering into a derivative transaction (a ‘Performance Swap’, as defined below) with a counterparty that provides complete and effective exposure to its benchmark index. Lyxor has adopted this methodology in order to minimise tracking error, optimise transaction costs and reduce operational risks.

A Performance Swap is a contractual agreement which is negotiated over-the-counter (OTC) between two parties: the Lyxor UCITS ETF and its counterparty. From a risk perspective, each Performance Swap ranks equally with other senior unsecured obligations of the counterparty, such as common bonds (i.e., same rights to payments). In the Performance Swap, the counterparty of the Lyxor UCITS ETF commits to pay the Lyxor UCITS ETF a variable return based on a pre-determined benchmark index, instead of a fixed stream of income (as in bonds). At the same time, the counterparty will receive from the Lyxor UCITS ETF the performance and any related revenues generated by the basket's assets (excluding the value of the Performance Swap) held by the Lyxor UCITS ETF. Information provided on individual ETFs includes data on the basket relating to the ETF and the percentage value of the basket represented by each asset. The information is relevant to the closing values on the date given.

Tax

Any statement in relation to tax, where made, is generic and non-exhaustive and is based on our understanding of the laws and practice in force as of the date of this document and is subject to any changes in law and practice and the interpretation and application thereof, which changes could be made with retroactive effect. Any such statement must not be construed as tax advice and must not be relied upon. The tax treatment of investments will, inter alia, depend on an individual’s circumstances. Investors must consult with an appropriate professional tax adviser to ascertain for themselves the taxation consequences of acquiring, holding and/or disposing of any investments mentioned on this website.

Any fund prospectus and supplements are available at www.lyxoretf.co.uk. Information given about the past performance of the funds is no guarantee of future performance. No investment decision should be taken without reading the fund prospectus and the key information document available of the fund concerned.

Although the content of the website is based upon information that Lyxor UK consider reliable or comes from sources that Lyxor UK consider reliable, Lyxor UK has not verified such information. Lyxor UK make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of any information. Any reproduction, disclosure or dissemination of the materials available on the website is prohibited.

This document has been edited with the free version of the instant HTML edior. Try it here and use it every time for your projects.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

Any third-party advertising, information and referral buttons containing hyperlinks are not recommendations or endorsements by Lyxor UK or its respective directors, affiliates or employees. The user is referred to the relevant third party for all relevant information, including complete information on that entitys investment adviser or dealer licensing status (if applicable).

All reasonable care has been taken by Lyxor UK to ensure that all statements of fact and opinion contained in the materials provided by a third party are fair, clear and not misleading. Nevertheless, Lyxor UK makes no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy of any third party information and is not responsible for third party content in any way.

UK residents only. This site is intended for Professional Clients who intend to trade in Lyxor UK Exchange Traded Funds in the United Kingdom. It is not provided to any person who is a resident of any other country.

You should note that holdings in this product will not be covered by the provisions of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme, or by any similar scheme. In particular, the investments can be neither offered nor transferred in the United States.

No investment advice Nothing in this website constitutes advice on the merits of buying, or selling a particular investment or exercising any right conferred by the products described. Lyxor UK does not offer investment advice in respect of these products. Unless you are an institutional or professional investor, you should seek independent financial advice in relation to the products contained in this website.

Accuracy and reliability of information The information in this website is, to Lyxor UKs knowledge, reliable and accurate but this cannot be guaranteed. The views of Lyxor UK reflected in this website may change without notice. Figures included in this website take no account of personal tax liability.

No investment decision should be taken without reading the Legal Documents relating to the particular Exchange Traded Fund concerned. A copy of the Legal Documents may be obtained from Lyxor UK at SG House, 1 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London, E14 4SG upon request.

Disclosure of interest Lyxor UK or its associates may from time to time have a position, or material interest in the products described in this website or the investments underlying them.

Generally Lyxor UK will be the only market maker in the Exchange Traded Funds discussed and will or may have provided significant advice in relation to the Exchange Traded Funds and the investments underlying them.

This is the privacy and cookies policy for the Lyxor ETF website, which is operated by Lyxor Asset Management UK LLP (Lyxor UK).

Collection of your information

Lyxor UK may obtain personal information about you during the course of your participation with the Lyxor ETF website, sometimes through the use of on-line or off-line forms.

Use of your information

The information you voluntarily provide us through this website or email (which may include your name, company, address and contact details such as your telephone number, email address or fax number) will be used for the following purposes:

to send you information and updates about products on the Lyxor ETF website;
to satisfy your requests, such as publications or information relating to Lyxor ETF;
to respond to your query if you have emailed us with an enquiry (for example, in relation to any Lyxor ETF or a forthcoming publication or event);
to send you further information and marketing materials about our services, products, publications, events or keep you informed through our periodic newsletters provided that you have indicated that you are happy to be contacted for these purposes.

Who do we share your information with?

We may (to the extent necessary) pass your personal information to members of the Societe Generale Group and Lyxor UK’s partners, providers, and subcontractors (for whom we remain responsible in this regard) who assist us in providing the services we offer, such as fulfilling requests for information, receiving and sending communications, updating marketing lists, analysing data, providing support services or in other tasks from time to time. Our agents and contractors will only use your information to the extent necessary to perform their functions.

In the event that we undergo re-organisation or are sold to a third party, you agree that any personal information we hold about you may be transferred to that re-organised entity or third party.

We may disclose personal information about you if required to do so by law enforcement or other government or regulatory bodies and their officials or to third parties in connection with an investigation of fraud, intellectual property infringement, breach of any law or other activity that is illegal or which may expose us to legal liability, or in order to protect our rights and property.

International Transfers

Your personal data may be processed by staff operating outside the European Economic Area ("EEA") or your local jurisdiction who work for us or for one of our suppliers chosen for their expertise in certain areas. This may, for example, happen if one or more of our servers are from time to time located in a country outside the EEA or one of our service providers is located in a country outside the EEA. If we transfer your information outside the EEA in this way, we will take steps to ensure that your privacy rights continue to be protected

What are Cookies and how are they used?

This policy explains how our website uses Cookies. It forms part of the important information and the terms and conditions of our website.

A cookie is a small file, typically of letters and numbers, downloaded on to a device when the user accesses certain websites. Cookies allow this website to recognise your computer throughout your session.

The Lyxor ETF website uses a combination of the types of cookies listed below:

What cookies do we use?	What is the purpose of the Cookie?	What is the shelf life?
JSESSIONID	These cookies are used to customise the visitor experience and save the user preferences by linking it to the website account.	Session
_ga	This cookie name is asssociated with Google Universal Analytics - which is a significant update to Google's more commonly used analytics service. This cookie is used to distinguishes unique users by assigning a randomly generated number as a client identifier.	2 Years
_gat	This cookie name is associated with Google Universal Analytics, according to documentation it is used to throttle the request rate - limiting the collection of data on high traffic sites.	10 minutes
disclaimerinstit	These cookies are used to remember if the visitor has accepted the disclaimer for institutional profile	1 Month

How do I set my cookie preferences?

Most web browsers allow some control of most cookies through the browser settings.

You may also delete and block all cookies from the Lyxor ETF Website but parts of the Lyxor ETF website may not work.

To find out more about cookies, including how to see what cookies have been set and how to manage and delete them, visit www.aboutcookies.org or www.allaboutcookies.org.

Other websites

The Lyxor ETF website may, from time to time, contain links to and from the websites of our partners, advertisers or other websites providing relevant information. If you follow a link to any of these websites, please note that these websites have their own privacy policies and that we do not accept any responsibility or liability for these policies. Please check these policies before you submit any personal data to these websites.

Your rights of access and rights to modify your personal information

You have the right to ask for a copy of the personal information we hold about you in our records by writing to Lyxor ETF, SG House, 1 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London, E14 4SG. Alternatively, you can email info@lyxoretf.co.uk.

You also have the right, at any time, to object to the processing of your personal information, to require us to correct any inaccuracies in your information or to remove such information or to request us not to process your personal data for marketing purposes.

You should contact us at the above address if you wish to do any of these things. We will retain in our files certain information you have requested us to remove in order to resolve future disputes, to troubleshoot problems or to enforce the Terms. We will retain data only for the duration of the purpose for which it was obtained and may need to retain some details about you after your relationship with Lyxor UK has ended, for example for legal and regulatory purposes.

What to do if you wish to stop hearing from us

If you no longer wish to hear from Lyxor ETF about opportunities or if any of your details change, please inform us by email at info@lyxoretf.co.uk.

Changes to our privacy policy Ancre

Any changes we may make to our privacy policy in the future will be posted on this page and, where appropriate, may be notified to you by e-mail.

09 jul 2021

A commodities supercycle: what it means and why it matters.

text

As the prices of oil, iron ore and copper have surged in recent months, there’s been much talk about a commodities supercycle. But what does this mean, and why does it matter? Jean-Baptiste Berthon, Senior Cross-Asset Strategist at Lyxor Asset Management, gives us an overview, and highlights the key role of copper in the energy transition.

In a regular commodity cycle, prices rise with demand. Commodity producers increase production until supply outstrips demand, and prices then fall back. In a supercycle, however, supply fails to meet demand for a prolonged period, so that commodity prices continue to rise for years or even decades.

What stops supply from meeting demand? Well, companies need time to build the capacity to mine more metals or extract more oil. And they need more time still to hire and train workers. This can take years. So when demand rises more sharply than producers have anticipated, they can struggle to catch up. That’s when a supercycle can set in.

A century in supercycles

Historically, supercycles have arisen from profound changes in the way we live – changes that drastically increase our appetite for commodities. In the past 120 years, there have been four such supercycles.

The first began in the 1890s as US industrialisation got underway. This supercycle continued through to the end of the First World War, fuelled by demand for armaments.

The second started in the 1930s and persisted until the 1950s. It was driven by the widespread adoption of the motorcar and by the Second World War.

The third ran from the late 1960s until the early 1980s. It accelerated in the 1970s as tensions in the Middle East interrupted the oil supply. Eventually, however, alternative sources of energy led to the 1980s oil glut.

The most recent supercycle began when China entered the World Trade Organisation in 2001. China’s economic reforms and massive urbanisation drove demand for commodities to new highs. In 2008, the global financial crisis brought this to an abrupt halt.

Supercycles in commodity prices (BCPI weights,* 1899-2016)

Supercycles

Source for data: Bank of Canada. *Economists at the Bank of Canada used the Bank of Canada commodity price index (BCPI) to search for evidence of super cycles using an asymmetric band pass filter. This is an index of the spot or transaction prices in US dollars of 26 commodities. Original chart comes from Visual Capitalist: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/what-is-a-commodity-super-cycle/
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Where to now?

Could we be in the early stages of a new supercycle? There are some signs that we might be. This time, the profound changes could be the Covid crisis and the energy transition. As oil and metal prices have rocketed in recent months, producers have struggled to meet demand. Many cut their capacity in response to the US-China trade war and the Covid pandemic, and there has been little investment in new capacity.

And demand is set to rise further still. As Covid-19 vaccines are rolled out, economies are reopening. Governments have announced massive fiscal stimulus programmes, and central banks are keeping interest rates at or near zero. Low rates can help to fuel a commodities boom as people invest in commodities – notably gold – to achieve higher returns and escape inflation. Meanwhile, the US dollar has weakened recently. Because commodities are traded in dollars, a weaker dollar can stoke demand.

Is it different this time?

If a supercycle does get underway, it’s likely to differ somewhat from its predecessors. That’s because much of the world’s planned fiscal stimulus has a distinctly green tinge. President Biden’s American Jobs Plan includes investment of $174 billion in electric vehicles, alongside commitments to clean energy and green infrastructure. The European Union has announced the biggest-ever green stimulus package at over €500 billion while the UK has committed to ‘build back better’. And China has announced ambitious carbon-emission targets for the decades ahead.

if a supercycle

This emphasis on the energy transition means that any nascent supercycle is likely to be driven by copper rather than fossil fuels. The price of copper hit a record high in May. Copper is used in both traditional and green infrastructure. It also has a crucial role in the manufacture of electric vehicles.

We expect a copper shortage later this year. The current surge has been driven by demand from China and exacerbated by Covid-driven disruption at mines in Chile and Peru. Although Chinese demand will probably moderate, the rest of the world should take up the slack. So the copper price looks set for fresh highs.

Historical performance of copper (in $)

historical performance

Source: Lyxor International Asset Management, June 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The prices of oil and natural gas have risen dramatically too. The OPEC+ group has started to reverse its recent production cuts, but any new supply is likely to be absorbed fairly quickly. Meanwhile, US shale gas has only just turned profitable after years of losses, so cautious producers are keeping capacity unchanged.

The emphasis on clean energy in the various stimulus packages will not have an immediate impact on demand for fossil fuels; traditional energy is required to build green infrastructure. But the long-term implications are less clear.

What does a supercycle mean for investors?

Rising commodity prices signal one big thing: inflation. A boom in commodities will, sooner or later, lead to rising prices across the board. That’s bad news for bondholders; most fixed-income products don’t offer protection from inflation.

Then there’s the stock market. Previous supercycles have begun when commodity prices are low and stock prices high – precisely the conditions when the current surge in commodities began. Stocks are still trading at record levels, but that could also suggest that a supercycle is on the cards. Past supercycles have coincided with shares falling from their highs.

But not all stocks are equal. The share prices of materials and energy companies could do very well if a supercycle sets in. And other cyclical stocks could benefit from a commodities boom.

The case against

There are, however, some factors that could prevent a supercycle from taking hold. If China’s growth rate slows significantly, global demand for commodities would moderate too.

Technology is another wild card. Improvements in energy efficiency could reduce demand for fossil fuels. And so too could improved recycling and greater industrial digitalisation.

Finally, if the Biden administration is unable to implement its stimulus packages in full, we may not see a commodities boom on the scale that many expect.

If the events of 2020 taught us anything, it’s that our powers of prediction are limited. So a new commodities supercycle isn’t a certainty. But it is a distinct possibility – one that investors should take seriously when they think about how their portfolios are positioned.

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